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Post by SWMan on Feb 23, 2021 23:06:16 GMT -6
Was in a couple of outdoors stores today, had some interesting conversations with owners/employees. One guy said his bicycle supplier just informed me that he won't be getting any until 2023!!! Only had a few on the rack leftover from last year and he would normally sell a lot. He said they found a container load of kayaks from China and bought the whole works, freight was $8000 on that container! Also ordered two pallets of 9MM ammo and got 5 boxes, after mentioning that I made sure I relieved him of some of what he had left...lol. Even re-loading supplies are super tight.
Even spoke with the service manager at a dealer for a bit and he was concerned about getting some stuff in a timely fashion, must have jinxed myself the other day by joking about that!
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Post by Beerwiser on Feb 23, 2021 23:15:30 GMT -6
Ummmm, not even going to get started on reloading. I have been after a Dillon progressive reloader for about a year now. Can't get them on a farmers wage and I use that term loosely.
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Post by kenmb on Feb 24, 2021 11:44:14 GMT -6
Easiest way to create inflation is to simply not make products available. Something about a "communist" country providing a good portion of materials comes to mind. A country can decide to ship goods or not.
I am sitting on yellow mustard because a processor that can clean it up for me isn't getting seacans. Funny thing about seacans, when the interest rates dropped to the floor and crap was flying off the shelves, there was no shortage. Biggest building boom ever, no shortages. But now that covid shuts down a good portion of business here, and "suddenly" there is a shortage of containers to move product.
I suppose a guy could say the demand here is less for products from overseas and therefore fewer containers. On the other hand, there is talk of bounties on containers to get them back on the other side of the ocean, where they are apparently sitting empty once there.
I just say it is all a bunch of crap. Manufactured chaos.
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Shortages!
Feb 24, 2021 11:52:07 GMT -6
via mobile
Post by meskie on Feb 24, 2021 11:52:07 GMT -6
Ken that’s what I had mentioned before. China bought a lot of the return shipping going back from this side. They will keep them empty till they decide they want to ship stuff over here and only let containers be filled with what they need there.
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Post by Lucas @ Wilger on Feb 25, 2021 8:45:15 GMT -6
Yeah, for the last like 1.5-2 months, shipping carriers were literally dropping off in Canada and going straight back to China empty. I was hearing rates for 2-3x shipping freight cost out of most places because of it, and longer delays.
On the manufacturing side of things, I've heard most things that might have been like 4-8 week leadtimes are more in the realm of 12-16 weeks. The crappy part is that usually it might be a component that isn't manufactured in Canada like an o-ring, and it seems all the US manufacturers are charging aerospace prices for domestically made o-rings.
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Post by kenmb on Feb 25, 2021 12:47:32 GMT -6
Yes, it's quite the world Meskie. It was what I was mentioning a couple of years ago with Trumps "trade war with China". Even farmers were anti-Trump because he is upsetting the apple cart with China buying grain and costing farmers money. People just can't see things beyond their bank account, or virtue signaling. It's a complex situation, one that can't be easily summarized in a few paragraphs, but to make it short - China is not our friend. It's not the Chinese people, it's this controlled world where the biggest "capitalist" companies are set-up in a "communist" country, and the ruling party following a "communist" ideology have made it happen, as well as all the head businessmen who beleive so strongly in free markets and freedom, that they base a main portion of their operations in China. And then we get told by the media that capitalism is failing.
But I digress. Not adding much here. Just keep in mind that any "shortages" are most likely not the result of free market capitalism. Quite the opposite actually. Result of a fully controlled world. Point being, we don't really know how this is going to play out because we can't use the idea of shipping goods for sale to earn a profit as a basis for our opinion. That is not the propose of such a control system.
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Post by kevlar on Feb 28, 2021 10:41:04 GMT -6
Guess I spoke too soon. Have our tractor ripped apart in the shop doing a wheel seal, now it's on back order until March 10th. Not completely certain that's the case, the dealer we ordered it from has given us issues in the past. Hope we actually get to use our "new to us" tractor this spring!
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Post by Oatking on Feb 28, 2021 10:58:45 GMT -6
I guess it is true pick up trucks are in short supply. I was making a deal on my 21 RAM and I have never ran into the problem where the dealer cant find a truck
with my preferred options. Cant believe 21 models are all pick over already with only the bare nut trucks left.! Most of all the 5.7 hemi warlocks are gone with only the 3.6 pensatar v6 left. Its only February. I was wondering if the automakers are still making ventilators and masks instead of trucks.? Any ways I found a black one instead of the desired blue hydra colour and was lucky to get a 3.92 diff.
Is CHEVY AND FORD having the same problem. I also noticed dealers are not giving big discounts now which makes sense with low inventory and the scourge almost over. Interesting, last february when the world was caught up in the scourge and fear, I bought my wifes honda for a huge discount. My payments actually went down from her 2018 model.
I bought a peterbelt 579 last week and was also surprised how hard it is now to get a discount. The dealership said the highway tractors are flying off the lots like no other year. Never bothered to look at the auctions but how is ritchie bros sales like. Higher grain prices have got to have increased prices at auctions, you think?
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Shortages!
Feb 28, 2021 11:41:08 GMT -6
via mobile
Post by slipclutch on Feb 28, 2021 11:41:08 GMT -6
Yeah. Bare balls in China town trucks can be had. But if you want something a little nicer you got to wait until the 2022 come out.
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Shortages!
Feb 28, 2021 12:56:43 GMT -6
via mobile
Post by bob123 on Feb 28, 2021 12:56:43 GMT -6
Guess I spoke too soon. Have our tractor ripped apart in the shop doing a wheel seal, now it's on back order until March 10th. Not completely certain that's the case, the dealer we ordered it from has given us issues in the past. Hope we actually get to use our "new to us" tractor this spring! Hopefully they dont keep pushing back the backorder like they have been doing to us. The 10th isnt too bad but we have found other ways to speed stuff up. They dont like to do it but if you ask them to check for stock in other dealer chains the transfer is quicker then waiting for the warehouse to restock. We have also been telling the parts guys that we will check both case and new holland dealers for the equivalent part and will order from whoever gets it here first and that gives them some incentive to make it happen |
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Post by garyfunk on Feb 28, 2021 13:29:58 GMT -6
They dont like to do it but if you ask them to check for stock in other dealer chains the transfer is quicker then waiting for the warehouse to restock. Maybe we're just lucky here but the parts guys in the local dealerships have always checked for nearby inventory for us, most times without us asking. |
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Post by bob123 on Feb 28, 2021 14:13:30 GMT -6
They dont mind getting it from another in their chain but if its from a different dealer group they haven't volunteered it up, although this certain parts department has been getting pretty frustrating in general. Mazer has been much better and will offer this right away if its backordered though
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Post by SWMan on Mar 5, 2021 23:23:41 GMT -6
Went to look for a sofabed yesterday, guy in store said the company they get from is not making those again until the pandemic ends...at which point I replied there never was a pandemic but I would like to know when it is going to end...ha ha
Two month wait for a twin xl mattress. Car lots looking pretty picked over. Bought last three cans of black spray paint from Walmart. Gun store all out of target load shotgun shells.
Literally every time I try to do business there is some sort of delay, feels like we are in some sort of third world country already. Can't imagine it getting better anytime soon either.
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Post by cptusa on Mar 6, 2021 7:46:22 GMT -6
Farm equipment is super short here now. Manufacture delays plus $5 corn/$14 soybeans put us into a sellers market. If you want or need something and find it you better buy it that day because it may not be there in the afternoon. Local AGCO dealer/shortline dealer says Massey tractors 8 months out, Gehl skid loaders 6 months out, if you want new Landoll tillage for spring of 2022 better have it ordered by May.
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Post by Oatking on Mar 6, 2021 8:57:04 GMT -6
My local Dodge ram dealer said the assembly line was shut down for over a month past summer and operating slowly now. On the bright side quality should be good because nobody is hurried. Might be the best put together products ever! My sales man said they are getting busier now but not enough product to meet demand. The Chevy dealer in Winkler looks pretty pick over. Never seen it so bare.
I agree cptusa, if you need it get it now. Wow my pre bought fertilizer paid my yearly payment on my 579 peterbilt and my new ram. You know the way things are going with grain prices I am starting to sell into new crop 2022. The last I checked I could sell for 11.80 a bushel for canola in nov 2022. I dont trust Biden and worry what china might do. Kluis commodity recommends some sales into 2022 new crop. I was shocked to hear some analysts suggest a bumper crop in 2021 could drop corn back to 3.5 a bushel and beans down to 10 dollars a bushel. That article was in the Western producer.
Ken or cptusa , Have you heard how long phase 1 contracts between U.S and China is valid for? I am skeptical how China could move that much imports of grain in such a short time. Wonder what there next move is.
Capt, In Canada most growers bin capacity covers there entire crop yields. Is it true in the U.S, that farmers rely on elevators for crop storage less so than on farm storage. My belief is to use marketing to sell as much as possible off the combine or close after and rely less so on binning all the grains. I have two thirds bin capacity on my farm.
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