2023 Crop Progress

My view on bin size choice is to consider how many bushels you can combine in 2 days and size a bin for that. Because by the 3rd day things have usually changed - tough grain is now dry, dry grain is now tough, moved on to a different crop, and so forth. If things are constant for a week straight then I would think things are going well and you really aren't debating much as to whether you should have bigger or smaller bins. It's when harvest isn't smooth thats when bin size matters more. And you fart around with crops of varying grade for such reasons as, oh, maybe rape volunteers in mustard as an example.

As for the economics of mustard vs canola I can't say about canola. Guys say they can't make a profit at $14 canola so I would think that is a concern. But at least canola and wheat is easy rotation so easy comes with a price.

If I use the agronomy of my local agronomist and his spreadsheet (which I do as a reference), some guys push for 60 bu wheat here, I shoot for 50 bu and got pretty close to that this year so my fertilizer use is inline for my area. I will never ever push for upper limits - not worth my time and effort and not in a dick swinging contest. No interest at all in high intensity cropping with fungicides and top dressing and all that jazz.

So for yellow mustard I can lay out my outlook pretty easy. Used to be 40c/lb was high end five years back. This winter contract price was at 50c/lb,i didn't bite. Signed some at 75c/lb, rest is not contracted with price at 90 c/lb currently (50 lbs/bu just like canola). Take off 2c/lb for each grade drop so hoping my ok mustard is 6 c/lb lower than those prices.

200 lbs of phos/urea is around $130/ac if I remember right this spring.
Edge at $25/ac
Incrop clethodim around $5/ac
Preburn with glyp and Aim about $15/ac

Agronomy says that fertilizer should get me around 20 bu/ac. And this year it finally has. Ladt 6 years I have hail twice, drought with crop insurance payout twice and just not great season one year so been more like 13 bu/ac with 15 as a good estimate. Agronomy says one thing, mother nature has the final say.

So let's call it $200/ac input for me not shooting for top end because playing that casino doesn't usually pay off.
50c/lb at 20 bu/ac is $500/ac revenue.

Pretty hard for me to say there is no profit growing mustard at 40 or 50c/lb. Yes, I have fuel and repair costs like anyone but those other costs guys have to farm more acres for more revenue (rent, equipment payment, labour, storage etc) don't apply in my cost to revenue calculation.

Now if I am looking at 75c/lb less 6c/lb for no3 or now 90c lb, the numbers look pretty good. How that compares to $18/bu canola I don't bother thinking about.

Hey Oatking, I thought you would be putting an order in for an X9.   They sound like a pretty impressive machine.

Probably a 670 lexion

New variety, BY6214TF, short with lotsa pods and easy to swath/combine. Running pretty well too, 😁.

I think you mean it’s running terrible like low 20s like ours…… if any traders are reading this

I’m thinking too late for these parts as well. Going to get it sprayed out in a few days.