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Post by torriem on Mar 7, 2021 18:57:21 GMT -6
I'll be very surprised if you see any pivots going that aren't within 10 miles of Taber! I'm curious to know, though!
Also adding complication to the situation this year, as of today there are still quite a few pivots down in this area from the high winds a few weeks ago. Hopefully they all get repaired soon. Got about a month before most people will be starting to seed.
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Post by Beerwiser on Mar 7, 2021 23:15:16 GMT -6
Honestly don't know what to think on this. Low spots and fields with poor drainage are still going to wet from the last couple of years of moisture. Fields with decent drainage are going to be on the dry side, especially for the few guys that ran the high speed tillage over them. I am kind of happy I didn't do a second cut on the hay. Hopefully it saves me from some winter kill and holds a bit of moisture. So I will leave this with the old saying "Seed in the dust and your bins will bust".
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Post by snapper22 on Mar 8, 2021 0:38:54 GMT -6
This looks to be the driest we’ll seed into for the last 8 years but we’ve been very wet. We’ll be fine as long as we get timely rains through the season. Remember spring of 92’. Wasn’t too old but remember dad had pairs running out in the hills. Most fertilizer banded and ready to seed. Had a big dump and that’s what pulled us through that year. Anything can happen.
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Post by Oatking on Mar 8, 2021 6:38:16 GMT -6
Yep looks very similar to 2012 in the Red river valley. That was the earliest I have ever seeded. I started seeding April 11 and I believe some guys further south by Winkler started at the beginning of April or last day of March. That year turned out pretty good with above average yields. I remember it turned cold in the end of april and wet and was worried the oats and wheat would rot in the ground. It did take two weeks for the crop to come up that year so early seeding is not always a quick emergence like at the beginning of May.
I would prefer a dry seeding period to eliminate any tracks, seed in the dust and your bins will bust!
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Post by lanwickum on Mar 9, 2021 7:49:40 GMT -6
I put normal for this time of year. But that is a tough guess for me. I have zero run off at my place. My pond is the lowest I have ever seen it. 15 miles away water is starting to run fairly well. Hope it keeps running for a few months in the creeks. 35 miles away and there is a nice snow cover still. It is fairly dry but should be good seeding conditions for the start of seeding. We will need rain when it starts to warm up much at all. I say normal, it is fairly dry at the moment.
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Post by kenmb on Mar 21, 2021 7:40:18 GMT -6
I haven't been paying attention to the forecasts and models but a La Nina situation is declared last I looked. And depending on where you live in the hemisphere it will generate different moisture events. Some say La Nina gives a wetter year, some say drier, problem is it does actually matter if you live in say Oklahoma, Brazil or Saskatchewan as to what is what. I expect a La Nina event to be drier here on the prairies. Cooler oceans mean less moisture uptake into the atmospheric flows, and different paths for those atmospheric flows (jet stream for example shifts) and therefore a change in rain events. It seems we have produced record crops for about 8 years in a row, or if not record, at least in line with yield trend forecasts. Been a long time since we had a significant shortfall, but they still can occur. Lots of sloughs here right now. Most of fields have melted off and run into low areas. But it is March 20 and so close to 2 months for many of those places to dry off. Had a definite shortage of rain last year. Have to see if that continues this year. La Nina says it should. Only time will tell. Interesting to see what other guys are experiencing, like Lans post above. A strong vs weak La Nina will also be something to note I suspect. talk.newagtalk.com/forums/thread-view.asp?tid=987644&DisplayType=nested&setCookie=1 |
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Post by Oatking on Mar 21, 2021 9:09:39 GMT -6
The skies were sure full of dust the last couple of days with 60 plus winds howling in the red river valley. By Rosenort looking south, the skies must be full of soil blowing by Winkler and on the escarpment and south into the Dakota s. By Morris it is dry but we have very low land and our heavy clay soils can hold a lot of moisture. In a year like this it might pay to have a soil moisture probe like the one Enns bros sells to give you an idea where you are and not just guessing. I would prefer it dry before seeding which leaves no tracks and no compaction.
Unfortunately , saline spots are showing and growing in area. I left 2 thirds of the farm no till so I hope it will result in a better crop.
Any body thinking of seeding at the end of March in western Canada. Some guys talked about seeding wheat on the frost! I dont grow wheat so I will let those guys have fun with that. If Canola seed wasn t so expensive I would be tempted to seed canola next week, sort of like late fall seeded canola. I tried that 20 years ago with 46A65 and got 35 bushels an acre with it. Not great but it works.
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Post by shmiffy on Mar 21, 2021 13:56:20 GMT -6
A guy by glen wood Alberta was seeding last week.
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Post by SWMan on Apr 8, 2021 22:39:00 GMT -6
Been putting fertilizer on this week. Not one wet spot on the farm and it's not because my drainage is that good...
Pea and soybean stubble are driest, with canola stubble being marginally better. Not sure if that's the taller stubble helping, but we had nearly zero snow so I can't see it being a big factor.
I've never wanted snow in April before, but I'd take some now.
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Post by Oatking on Apr 9, 2021 5:56:08 GMT -6
I never pray for rain. We had half an inch last night and more snow is coming.! We have plenty of soil moisture in the valley by Rosenort before this last rain. Maybe it will be way to much come tuesday of next week.
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Post by cptusa on Apr 9, 2021 6:51:44 GMT -6
We're dry here yet, got an slow half inch over the last 24 hours and it's a bit sloppy but firm yet.
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Post by jcalder on Apr 9, 2021 21:33:48 GMT -6
Been putting fertilizer on this week. Not one wet spot on the farm and it's not because my drainage is that good... Pea and soybean stubble are driest, with canola stubble being marginally better. Not sure if that's the taller stubble helping, but we had nearly zero snow so I can't see it being a big factor. I've never wanted snow in April before, but I'd take some now. Probably safe to say you're gonna get your wish on Monday. |
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Post by jcalder on Apr 9, 2021 21:35:45 GMT -6
I never pray for rain. We had half an inch last night and more snow is coming.! We have plenty of soil moisture in the valley by Rosenort before this last rain. Maybe it will be way to much come tuesday of next week. Same story here. The rain was nice though, we were fighting a bush fire on the rez Wednesday night for what seemed like eternity so I'm glad it rained a bit. Not super excited about the incoming snow, but it's so early I don't care that much. I just don't like it when all the snow is gone and we get more, have to watch the darn drifts melt again, so annoying... Haha. |
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Post by SWMan on Apr 9, 2021 21:41:45 GMT -6
Wow you guys got rain??? Nothing but sun here, although wind has been lower in last week which is nice.
Not sure about snow(or rain). Canadian forecast looks ominous but the US one for just south of me isn't calling for much in the way of moisture yet. They do usually wait until right before it happens to talk about amounts though.
Hopefully we get something.
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Post by bob123 on Apr 9, 2021 21:49:54 GMT -6
We got 7 tenths last night west of the red and 3 tenths east of the red by morris. It seems like it always starts dumping as it crosses the river. I was surprised to see how much moisture we actually had even before that though, I guess every bit of snow we had soaked in
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