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Post by rod on Jan 14, 2022 15:09:30 GMT -6
Think there’s two basic rules here. Ah yes, rules for some & different rules for others …… you know ……. rules for peasants!
Too big to fail.
The golden rule. One who has the gold ….. makes the rules.
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Post by kenmb on Jan 16, 2022 11:04:19 GMT -6
Over the last few years I have come to beleive the Golden Rule is the most accurate statement we need to understand in our lifetime.
The interesting part of it is that only a few people get let into the club, or perhaps more accurate to say the club is exclusive and no new members have been let in for many decades. Just new members in the form of offspring of existing members. So I don't think the guy who started Evergrande did anything from scratch. Evergrande is just an extension of the people who exist in the Golden club. Same with the bond holders. One big family.
Today we learn not only how Fauci is connected throughout everything, but his wife has a significant role at the NIH who set health policy. Lots of family links. Pelosi. Newsom. Podestas. Clinton's. Bushes. So many others it is a family affair in government or government and business. Not just coincidence. It's a club.
I would bet Elon Musk did not invent anything. PayPal was needed to further internet expansion and destroy small business and Elon was put in as figurehead. And same with all other Tesla spinoff.
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M F
New Member
I am farming with my son near Yorkton, Sk
Posts: 31 Likes: 30
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Post by M F on Jan 16, 2022 18:42:52 GMT -6
Hi Kemmb, you are getting closer, keep digging. Hint, the system is rigged, but not in favor of the peasants
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Post by kenmb on Jan 18, 2022 8:41:29 GMT -6
Like most people, I just believed what the tv, newspapers and experts said. When I didn't understand something I just assumed I wasn't that bright and the people in charge knew better. It was around 2012 or so and 4 years after the Great Financial Crisis I started to question why interest rates were still so low. That was the trigger for me to begin to understand how our world works. And it works very differently than what we are told. And probably one of the biggest things to note is that these things are slapping us right in the face yet we are too dumbed down or lazy to think about how things really work.
Yes I post some pretty crazy thoughts, but after paying attention to about 8 years now as to how things play out vs how we are told things work then those same crazy thoughts are the most intelligent explanations of cause>effect I can come up with. Our world is a crazy place. Once we accept that we can start to question why it is so crazy. It is not because of our leadership being really, really bad at what they do.
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Post by OptimallyDismal on Jan 24, 2022 10:36:13 GMT -6
The stock market is dropping quite a bit, as is oil and bitcoin. Interesting times.
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Post by northernfarmer on Jan 24, 2022 10:57:05 GMT -6
I looked it up to see what and where the high had been for bitcoin and that was 67500 in the first part of Nov, at the moment its around 34000 so in rough terms has dropped in half in the last two and a half months in a fairly steady stair step decline. I wonder what is behind a move like that as the stock market had been going up until fairly recently.
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Post by OptimallyDismal on Jan 24, 2022 11:29:43 GMT -6
There seems to be a lot of predictions of a big decline in the markets and crypto, like, more than usual. It really hasn't made sense for the record highs lately, I haven't really seen a good reason for it, so the house of cards theory seems likely.
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Post by SWMan on Jan 24, 2022 13:37:17 GMT -6
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Post by kenmb on Jan 24, 2022 18:15:52 GMT -6
Yes, I see we reached a picture posting limit. Put me down for a contribution also, I don't use PayPal but a direct payment I can do.
I was going to post an image of a screenshot from finviz. All the indices flash crashed about 3% today then shot up the rest of the day. What is interesting is it all the major indices shown on finviz that all do the same thing. The US, German, European, Japan - they all behave exactly the same at the exact same time.
Yes, I dare say one would have a hard time explaining the financial "news" that effects private business around the world in such a manner.
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Post by kenmb on Sept 29, 2023 9:12:28 GMT -6
Evergrande still operating, imagine that. www.zerohedge.com/economics/evergrandes-arrested-chairman-suspected-committing-crimes-latest-saga-chinas-real-estateBut that is because the rules and laws apply to the serfs, the other class has protection and is part of the control system. A real estate boom in China doesn't happen from grass roots, it is created. And to create such a thing needs tools. Consider Evergrande one of those tools. So the ultimate question is, when things pivot, is it because we are seeing reality take over with real people really doing their jobs, or is the control system moving on to the next phase and in doing so the parts of the old system are disposed of. I suppose we won't know for a long time as to what is really taking place. Probably one of the most fitting comments in any article ever written regarding any "too big to fail" entity:
Tang Jingyuan, a China affairs commentator and Epoch Times contributor, said on Sept. 7 that Evergrande's exponential rise in the past two decades couldn't have come without a "strong backer" providing benefits, financing, "a lot of convenience," and political safety. Without such a backer, private enterprises are "strangled" under the Chinese Communist Party's (CCP's) economic system, he said. In a nutshell, none of this stuff just happens. And regulators and people tasked with preventing such things are not simply really bad at their jobs. And not just in China.
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Post by kevlar on Jan 28, 2024 22:38:00 GMT -6
I see Evergrande is being forced to liquidate and halted all trading with the company after a 20% drop. Wonder what that will do to that market?
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Post by kenmb on Jan 29, 2024 10:53:51 GMT -6
Curious, 1 person viewing the marketing thread and 60 in the off topic thread and that's it. Kind of odd for a farming forum.
So reading about the Evergrande liquidation, it's a Hong Kong Court ordering it yet the vast majority of the corporation is operating in China. Some shares trade in Hong Kong. So we will see how this goes.
China is an interesting entity in my mind. There is definitely alot of globalist control there and seems to be the proving grounds for such things as social credit score and developing more system control routines between government and large corporations. However I do consider that the globalists may not be fully in control or there is a power struggle there to kick them out. Trump with his China issues was one of the possible indicators of such a thing.
It is why I figured Evergrande would keep going on, and basically still is. So perhaps the globalists are attempting to pull the trigger to collapse it. And of course we hear of contagion then. So I would look to see if China follows suit or charts its own path. Liquidation would be rather devastating but awesome for rich people to scoop up assets on the cheap. Assets - as in property, not about making worthless dollars, the game is to acquire assets. And acquiring a big chunk of China property would be a big play for globalists/rich.
So suppose China ignores the HK court. Better yet, suppose China's actions will stick the international/offshore investors with their own bad deals. Play stupid games and loose. Pretty simple concept, it's rather capitalist. But not here in North America, our so called capitalist system likes to have the taxpayer bail out corporations for stupid games like the GFC did and our government likes to hand over endless taxpayer wealth to corporations to keep developing projects. So if China says investors made bad investments and no one gets bailed out, wouldn't we say China is far, far more capitalist than America. For the record, I said ling ago China is not communist, the well known idea that international corporations operate there kind of makes it easy to understand.
So once again, wait and see how it shakes out. Seems to me a chess piece has been moved. See what happens next.
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Post by shmiffy on Jan 30, 2024 18:36:52 GMT -6
I heard today growth in China pegged at 4 to 6%. Are they over the hump or is it just a bounce?
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Post by kenmb on Feb 2, 2024 8:17:24 GMT -6
At this point growth data doesn't mean much. We are now into the point of seeing the curve for exponential debt expansion occurring. US government expected to run $2T deficit during "good" times. Yes, you can say it is wing nut policy, but it is also just as valid to say the government policy is purposely being set to spend excessively for two reasons:
1) ridiculous spending is needed as an excuse to hide the truth that debt expansion is how things work 2) we are at the point now were debt expands more than the impact on the economy
#2 may be hard for people to grasp if I don't explain it in right words. Basically, debt expansion devalues the currency. We can understand that as we see it happening. When you once spent $100,000 to do something, you now need $300,000 to accomplish the same thing. In an economy it is even more drastic, if $30B was spent on some economic development innitiative, then 5 years later you can't spend $30B again and get the same boost. And since a lot of that spending gets mis used and wasted, we can't say $90B is the right number next time. Maybe $200B is the correct number to get the same boost as what $30B did previously, so we enter a period of exponential debt expansion to give the same economic activity.
Gdp is a bogus number since taxes and government spending are included in the calculation. A government can borrow and spend more and show a positive gdp. Government hiring more people and paying them to do not much like say engage in gender identity initiatives will actually improve gdp. Did the economy actually improve though? Borrowing money to pay people to work shouldn't be a valid approach. But it is valid as far as gdp is concerned.
Like all things, don't trust the numbers.
China may very well be growing at 4% and doing it legitimately. Point is we will never know the reality.
I still say one of the very most basic indicators of prosperity is seen in debt levels. If your farm is doing great because you have a bunch of new equipment and bought some land yet you tripled your debt in last 8 years then I would say that is not prosperity, that is debt expansion. Prosperity means less debt, more savings. Government debt is a good example, so is corporate debt, and then we look at personal debt. This is how we can see if life is good. You can have lots of nice stuff but when you are renting it off some one else (debt and paying interest to them to have it) is fake prosperity.
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Post by shmiffy on Feb 2, 2024 8:58:03 GMT -6
That is a good way of explaining debt expansion vs growth and inflation. Farm credit said last year Canada’s ag was supposed to see over 4.5% growth but they said it came in 3.65% Their prediction is -4.5% for 2024.
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